NFL Week 3
Last week was a tough week. There were 3 pushes which could have either boosted me to a great week or knocked me down to a terrible week. Either way, I ended with 7-6-3 bringing my two week total to 15-13-3. By my math that is around 54% which is not very good but also not bad. This week I guarantee 10 wins. So if there is ever a week to pony up some money behind my picks, this is it. There have been 2 weeks and the league is as competitive as it’s ever been with 20 teams at 1-1. By the way, screw the Patriots who screwed about 40% of everyone in the world who was in a survivor pool.
Rams @ Bears (-7)- No Forte probably and coming off an embarrassing loss to the Packers in prime time. They have had extra time to prepare though and that goes a long way in the NFL. Rams looked good in their big win against the Redskins but in reality they should have been going to overtime and then who knows what happens. 7 is a good spread for this, I think the Bears win and I see them barely covering the spread.
Tbows Pick- Bears -7
Bucs @ Cowboys (-7)- So clearly Vegas didn’t watch the Cowboys last week. Just looked awful. I expected them to put up some type of fight against the Seahawks but on the other hand the Bucs looked awesome then looked terrible. I think these two teams are very similar and very inconsistent. Both can play at a high level but can also stink up the joint as bad as anyone. I like the Bucs to win and cover.
Tbows Pick- Bucs +7
49ers @ Vikings (+7)- 49ers are looking like the real deal this year. They can throw the ball when they need to and run the ball down your throat. The Vikings lost a heart breaker to the Colts last week and it looks like they are going to lose again this week.
Tbows Pick- 49ers -7
Lions @ Titans (+4)- The Lions are coming off a tough loss to the 49ers and the Titans are coming off a pretty bad loss to the Chargers. The offense for the Lions hasn’t really been there yet, so this is the week I look for them to open it up. Rivers threw for 3 and should have been 4 touchdowns against the Titans last week so I am looking for a huge day from Stafford and Calvin and the Lions to get back on track.
Tbows Pick- Lions -4
Bengals @ Redskins (-3.5)- This is a tough one. The Bengals played good offensively last week, but 20+ points to the Browns offense? That’s worrisome especially seeing how good the Redskins offense looks. I am just going to have to go with my gut on this one and say RGIII doesn’t disappoint in his home opener and the Skins beat the Bengals by a touchdown.
Tbows Pick- Redskins -3.5
Jets @ Dolphins (+3)- This one needs no analysis. The Jets played a tough team and still put up a pretty good fight and the Dolphins just played a garbage Oakland team.
Tbows Pick- Jets -3
Chiefs @ Saints (-9)- It is really hard to put faith in this Saints team even though the Chiefs have looked BAD on defense. I will give the Saints one more shot and they should explode on offense this week for a big win at home which they need badly.
Tbows Pick- Saints -9
Bills @ Browns (+3)- The Bills looked good on offense granted it was against the Chiefs and I am feeling a big trend this season on teams coming off losses and beating teams coming off wins. The Browns offense showed something last week, and they are at home so I like the Browns in this one, sadly.
Tbows Pick- Browns +3
Jags @ Colts (-3)- So I liked the Colts last week to win and they almost blew it but ended up winning in stunning fashion on a Peyton like drive at the end of the game. Luck is looking like the real deal and he has instant chemistry with Reggie Wayne as well as Donnie Avery. Austin Collie might be coming back this week too and I just think the Colts have too many weapons for the Jags to compete with.
Tbows Pick- Colts -3
Eagles @ Cardinals (+4)- I am a bit nervous taking my Eagles as road favorites. They are coming off a HUGE win against one of the best if not the best team in the AFC and so are the Cardinals. But the Eagles defense is just stout this year. The Eagles offense still isn’t quite there yet and they’ve turned it over 4+ times in the first two games and they have still won both. That says something about how good the Eagles D is. Would it be bad if I only said I like the birds in this one?
Tbows Pick- Eagles -4
Falcons @ Chargers (+3)- The Falcons are 2-0 and so are the Chargers. This ones a coin flip, maybe we see Matthews this week, who knows. Maybe Turner drives drunk to the game, who knows. Since home teams raped last week I will just go with the home dawgs in this one.
Tbows Pick- Chargers +3
Texans @ Broncos (+3)- The Broncos have faced two good teams thus far and the Texans really haven’t had a test. The Broncos are a tough team at home but Peyton looked like the Peyton I expected him to be last game. Turnovers killed them but they still had a shot. I just think the run game of the Texans will be too much so I am taking another road favorite in the Texans.
Tbows Pick- Texans -3
Steelers @ Raiders (+4.5)- Can you say trap game? Coming off a big win against the Jets last week and then a big game next week against the Eagles. I like me some Raiders this week in the black hole to shock the Steelers.
Tbows Pick- Raiders +4.5
Patriots @ Ravens (-3)- Couldn’t think of a better Sunday night game to have on. These two teams are both 1-1 and whoever wins will have a 2 game lead over the other with the tiebreaker going to whoever wins in terms of seeding for the playoffs. I’m just not sold on the Patriots this season. Thought I was after week one but they lost to a decent, not good, decent Cardinals team. The Ravens have never beaten the Patriots in the regular season, but then again the Patriots had won, what, their past 10 home openers? Bound to lose sometime and I just think the balance of the Ravens and them being at home are going to be too much.
Tbows Pick- Ravens -3
Packers @ Seahawks (+3.5)- This will be a good game as well. Like I said last week, The 12th man in Seattle is probably the biggest advantage of any team in the league. It’s loud and it’s a place nobody wants to play. The Packers are vulnerable on defense against a power running game which is what the Hawks have. However, I am not sure they have the defense to keep up with all the Packers weapon. Close first half and then the Pack pull away by two TD’s.
Tbows Pick- Packers -3.5
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