There we go. Last week I came into form. Had it not been for terrible, terrible, terrible defense on the Ryan to Roddy hail mary from the 1 yard line, my pick that the Panthers would beat the Falcons would have come true. But that’s why I love spreads. 9-5 last week, which is what I’ve been expecting. Like the NFL players, I guess I’ll blame my poor picking in weeks prior to the replacement refs. Thanks a lot. Week 5 has some interesting matchups, and with my overall record at 28-28-4 I will look to break over the .500 mark and not look back. As an extra pick this week, I like the Rams to beat the Cards tonight. If the Rams can duplicate what the Dolphins did on defense, they should have no problem beating them and handing the Cardinals their first loss.
Falcons @ Redskins (+3)- Major, major match up this week. I’m not sure if there will be any defense in this game, or only 22 bodies standing against the offenses. I’m not even sure who I like more in this match up. The Falcons are riding high off a tight win at home last week, and the Redskins won a tough one against the Bucs. I will give the edge to the Redskins in this match up because of the fact that they are at home, and not in a dome. Matty Ice has had trouble on the road in his career, and while I liked the Falcons to lose last week (which they should have) I actually like them to lose again. This time the spread isn’t as big as 7 but the Skins cover and win.
Tbow’s Pick- Redskins +3
Eagles @ Steelers (-3.5)- Steelers had an extra week of rest and preparation time, and the Eagles are coming off a HUGE divisional win against the Giants in prime time last Sunday. I can see the Eagles coming out flat and playing like shit, but I won’t believe it til I see it. The defense is too tough for that, and they should beat the Steelers, or at minimum keep it close.
Tbow’s Pick- Eagles +3.5
Packers @ Colts (+7)- Packers pulled to .500 last week and the Colts had the week off. Like I’ve stated, having extra time to prepare is a BIG deal in the NFL. No Jennings for the Pack and that extra week for the Colts might be a recipe for upset. Lets face it, the Packers should be 1-3 if the Saints kicker could do his job. I think we all hear the name Packers and expect them to win, but are they really that good? I don’t believe it so I will take the Colts to cover, maybe even shock the world this week.
Tbow’s Pick- Colts +7
Browns @ Giants (-9)- My Eagles beat the Giants last week and the G-Men are desperate for a win as the season’s first month is in the books. I like Eli to put a whooping on the Browns in a blowout, even though the Giants play much better on the road for some reason.
Tbow’s Pick- Giants -9
Dolphins @ Bengals (-4)- The Bengals are an interesting team to me. I don’t know if I believe in them yet. Dolphins have a tough D this season, and the Bengals haven’t had that killer instinct to put bad teams out of reach early. They kind of let the Jags and Browns hang around for a while. My gut is telling me the Dolphins pull off a win this week, or maybe I just have to poop. Either way.
Tbow’s Pick- Dolphins +4
Ravens @ Chiefs (+6)- Cmon now Vegas. I wipe my ass with 6 points. Ray Lew might kill Matt Cassell in this game. No joke. All day. By himself. One pillow. One pillow case. Gun at his waist.
Tbow’s Pick- Ravens -6
Seahawks @ Panthers (-3)- Panthers looked good last week, but came up short. Seahawks looked, well, not so good. They are just a different team on the road. However, I think they can beat the Panthers. A heavy dose of Marshawn is in order and the Hawks can control the pace of the game that way.
Tbow’s Pick- Hawks +3
Bears @ Jags (+5.5)- Which Bears team will show up? Well, which Jay Cutler. Bears D is legit this year and they could make the Jags offense hell on Sunday.
Tbow’s Pick- Bears -5.5
Titans @ Vikings (-6)- No Locker could be a blessing in disguise for the Titans. Vikings are hot and the Titans are not, with their star QB down and out, this is the perfect recipe for a team to rally around the vet Matt Hasselbeck. Shocker special here, Titans upset the Vikings, but who would have thought the Vikings would be in position to be heavy favorites against anyone?
Tbow’s Pick- Titans +6
Broncos @ Patriots (-7)- Pats offense exploded in the 2nd half at Buffalo. I expect them to pick up where they left off. The Broncos had it easy last week, and the media is on Peytons nuts again. The guy sucked worse than any QB against the Falcons who don’t even have a good defense. I don’t care what anyone says, Peyton will feast on the shitty teams and will get owned by the decent to good teams. Pats in a smokeshow this week.
Tbow’s Pick- Patriots -50
Bills @ 49ers (-10)- 49ers are good. The Bills are bad.
Tbow’s Pick- 49ers +10
Chargers @ Saints (-4)- How can anyone pick the Saints to win? I still hate you Drew Brees, did the replacement refs blow the ball wide left last week?
Tbow’s Pick- Chargers +4
Texans @ Jets (+9)- Talk about embarassing. 9 point dogs at home on Monday night. Kick em while they’re down. Week 5 was a little late for my calling of Tim Tebow, but I’l take it. This will be Tebow’s team starting Monday night, and surprisingly they still have a legitimate shot at making the playoffs given how horrible they played against the Niners. One might say the Jets need a miracle to make the playoffs. Well to that person I’d say, Tebow is a miracle worker. Shock the world Monday Tim.
Tbow’s Pick- Jets +9