NFL Divisional Round Preview

diviosnlLast weeks games were the biggest let downs of all time. One of the worst weekends of football ever. Every game sucked and then we were all forced to watch RGIII basically forced into ripping his knee apart. I was a little angry with myself that I wasn’t aware Christian Ponder wasn’t going to be playing seeing as that game was my only loss of the week putting me at 3-1 for the playoffs but realistically 4-0. Whatever. So this weekends games seem like they will all be pretty good. Saturday we got the Ravens and Broncos and the Packers and 49ers. Then Sunday Pats and Texans and Seahawks and Falcons. So here are some top of the line picks that you should definitely bet on if you want to make some money this weekend:

Ravens @ Broncos (-10)– Really Vegas? This is the playoffs. Maybe they didn’t get the memo but the Broncos quarterback is notorious for playoff one-and-dones and this Ravens defense is coming off an emotional win where they literally gave the Bengals zero ground. From a betting stand-point this game is a lay-up. You take the Ravens with the points all day everyday. Now with that being said, I really am unsure of who is going to win this game. My gut is saying that the Broncos pull it out but my head is telling me Peyton Manning is going to do what he usually does and that is lose in the playoffs. I think it’s definitely a low scoring game and the Ravens win on a late field goal to send the two horses packing.

Tbow’s Pick- Ravens +10

Packers @ 49ers (-3)- By far the game of the weekend right here. Well, at least that’s what most people think but I see this as a one-sided affair. I picked the Pack to lose last week but they caught a huge break with Christian Ponder not playing. On the surface you might think he wouldn’t have made much of a difference but if you saw Joe Webb throw a football you would know that the Vikings had no chance with him behind center. The Packers are a mediocre defense at best and their offense hasn’t impressed me of late. I think the extra week of preparation will work to the Niners advantage and their big play capability will be what puts them over the edge against the Packers defense.

Tbow’s Pick- 49ers -3

Seahawks @ Falcons (-3)- This is the matchup that I am most looking forward to. I said last week I liked the Hawks to win but wasn’t sure if they had what it takes to play on the road. Honestly, last week didn’t tell me much. Was their defense really playing that good or was it all because RGIII had one knee? The offense turned it up in the 2nd half but that’s only because the Skins defense couldn’t get off the field because of the offensive 3 and outs. I will tell you one thing. If the Seahawks start the game on Sunday like they did last week there is no chance they win the game. I’m really surprised at how low the spread is for this game. Falcons at home where they dominate and they basically dominated the conference all year. This is Matty Ice’s last chance to show that he’s not completely useless in the playoffs and this franchise cannot afford to lose another playoff game at home. Hawks made a good run but they are young and will be back next year, they need to learn to play on the road too.

Tbow’s Pick- Falcons -3

Texans @ Patriots (-10)- This is a very interesting game to say the least. You see it all the time in the NFL how hard it is for teams to win 2 games against the same opponent in a short time span. Patriots laid a beating on the Texans in week 14, and it had a pretty obvious effect on the entire team the rest of the season. The Texans were honestly saved by having to play last week because if they had a bye and were coming into the divisional round against anyone following all those losses you can guarantee them to lay another goose egg. They got to play however and get a little bit of confidence back in their game and that should make for a better showing on Sunday. I do like them to keep it close but I don’t know if they have enough to beat the Pats. I think it is possible but I like the Pats by a touchdown or field goal in this one. Don’t expect a blow out.

Tbow’s Pick- Texans +10

Tebow to save Jets and kill Sanchez’s career

Today, well yesterday Tim Tebow was announced officially as a member of the New York Jets. A little bit of me died inside with this announcement but that is beside the point. I am trying to figure out who was more disrespected in the transaction. Was it Tim Tebow who saved the Broncos season and led them to a playoff victory only to lose to a much better Patriots team and be given away by the Anti-Christ John Elway or Mark Sanchez who just signed a huge contract only to see his organization trade for Tebow who could potentially take his job and win over the locker room? I think it’s Tebow by far. Here is what is going to happen, and when it does you all can say wow, Tbow was right. So training camp will roll along, we will see video of Peyton looking stellar with his red don’t hit me jersey on throwing lasers down the field and John Elway standing on the sideline looking like a happy horse who just got his poopy stable cleaned. Then comes the Preseason. Peyton goes down, reaggrivates his injury and can’t play for the rest of his career. John Elway looks up only to see a group of fans wearing Tim Tebow jerseys and hears the song “Our God is an Awesome God” playing in his head the rest of his life. Denver goes on to accomplish what the Lions did a few years ago and go 0-16. John Elway gets run over by a real life Bronco that looks identical to him and dies instantly. Put all your money on it. Don’t underestimate Tebow’s powers. Winning football games with no talent around you takes ten times more effort than calling for a karate chop to Peytons neck and a Bronco getting loose at a nearby zoo.

All kidding aside, I see Tebow getting the starting job around week 3. Mark Sanchez has the mental capacity of a 5-year-old. And I am not talking about a five-year old from back in the day who was raised correctly I am talking about the five-year olds now that get a trophy for showing up to practice and have an ice cream party after losing 30-0 in a baseball game. His mind is already screwed up right now after that trade, never mind when Timmy is calling him up every other day to say whats up and asking him to go build houses with him in the Philipines. First day of practice Tim is going to walk up to Cromarte and say “hey man, you remember that Tweet saying your good?” and then he is going to kick him right in the balls and say “you’re welcome. now you don’t have to worry about having any more children”. Power move of the century. I couldn’t see a team that was more unfit for Tebow. Just a bunch of punks and idiots and foot lovers who all think they are the best players and entitled to everything. Just wait. Plaxico will be carrying a Bible to clubs instead of a gun and Rex is going to start licking Rosary beads instead of feet. If Tebow Jesus could turn water into wine, there is no doubt Tim will bring the Super Bowl to New York next season.

Breaking my vow of silence

After almost 24 hours, I still am not sure what to say. I have to give credit where credit is due, Brady and the Patriots defense played a great game. I totally underestimated how little the Denver defense would care about this game and that most of them were happy to just be there. The Pats offense made them look like chickens with their heads cut off. I have to admit, I had a little bit of doubt going into the game seeing as the Patriots were a better team, but I still thought the Broncos could win. However, I have to say, after the coin toss, my entire feeling about the game changed. What in the world was John Fox thinking giving the ball to Tom Brady and the Patriots to start the game? The only way they were going to win was off of momentum and doubt. They knew they had no shot of winning coming from behind, and the Patriots had 2 weeks to figure out what plays they were going to run on an opening drive. That, in my opinion changed the whole complexion of the game. How demoralizing is it for your defense to come out after the kickoff and give up a touchdown in what was it, five plays? Down 7-0 before Tebow could even finish the first verse of “Our God is an awesome God”. Just idiotic. I know he deferred every toss he won the whole season but this is the playoffs and you have to do the smart thing and going down 7-0 is not smart. Either way the Patriots played like they all remembered last years loss to the Jets and would have beat the Broncos regardless of how the game went.

I heard a lot about how Tim Tebow blew the game for the Broncos and how he sucked again and once again his numbers don’t reflect what really happened in my opinion. He was something like 3 for 8 in the first half for 28 yards, and all but one of his incompletions were dropped passes and thrown away balls. Not to mention the play calling not just in this game but the entire year was just awful and set him up for failure. Regardless, he had a great season and I am looking forward to see what he has next year. He will get a full training camp, preseason and a year under his belt. If anything, this game should have shown everyone what a great job Tebow did getting this horrible, overrated defense to the second round of the playoffs. Hopefully the Broncos can build a little better of a team around him for next season. They need some serious help on defense and it wouldn’t be a bad idea to bring in a few good receivers to compliment Demaryius Thomas who has a bright future as well. So I will admit I was wrong this week. I truly thought the Broncos had a chance and thought I had some pretty good stats and reasons why they had a chance and the Broncos didn’t do any of it, plain and simple. Hats off to the Pats and lets go Sixers.

Comparison of the Year

Tomorrow is the big day, and I haven’t slept since Sunday. I’ve been drinking a lot of soda and eating a lot of sugar. Of course, I turn on the TV at 2 to listen to Felger and Mazz and as I am researching my statistics for this comparison I am about to give you, they bring up the same comparison. Always stealing my thunder, not that any of you listen or watch them anyways. So before I tell you this I just want to make it clear that I am in no way saying Tebow is going to be as good as Brady.

We all know the amount of scrutiny Tim Tebow has been under coming into the league, and everything he does has been analyzed over and over and over again. Tom Brady was an end of the draft pick who nobody knew. In Brady’s first 11 games in his 2nd season, which was 2001 when he led them to the Super Bowl, Brady threw and rushed for 2,278 yards, 16 total touchdowns and 9 interceptions while posting an 8-3 record. Tim Tebow in his first 11 games in his second season he threw and rushed for 2,317 yards, 16 total touchdowns, and 6 interceptions while posting a 7-4 record. Eerily similar? I think so. If you took these two players, put the stats in front of someone who didn’t know who they were, they would say they were about the same. The difference now is that Tim Tebow has been under a microscope since he came out of college. He had expectations the second he stepped on the field, and because of some of his flaws, people are quick to judge his ability when in reality, we all forget he is still a rookie for the most part. This is his first full season (if you want to call 11 games a full season) and his numbers are the same as Brady’s in his first full season. Now I won’t be ridiculous and claim Tim Tebow will be as good as Brady someday or that he’s better than him because it’s not true. Tom Brady and Tim Tebow have what Skip Bayless calls the “clutch gene” that many players don’t possess. Tom Brady told Robert Kraft after they had drafted him that he was going to be the best decision he ever made.

That season I was comparing Tebow to Brady was 2001, and that was the year Drew Bledsoe went down against the Jets in week 2. That year, the Patriots as a team were much better than the Broncos are as a team this year. The Patriots had a top 5 defense. The playoff games the Patriots won that year were won by defense, special teams, and of course the one referee in the entire world who knew what the tuck rule was. It is crazy to even think about what would have transpired the next few years had that ref been like the rest of the world and not known that new rule. The Patriots would have lost in that first round and I wonder if they would have been the same team going forward? I think it was Troy Brown who had the big touchdown against the Steelers in the AFC Championship on the punt return that won them the game in a game that everyone expected them to lose. Had Brady come out of college as a top prospect with high expectations, what would we have said about his numbers that season? Would he be thrown under the bus in games they lost and praised in games they won? Would his success have been written off because it’s what people expect he should do? If Tebow pulls off the unthinkable and wins the Super Bowl, would anyone give him credit? Probably not, but I just thought that was an interesting comparison I found which you all should look at and think about. Enjoy the Patriot’s last game of the year tomorrow, it’s going to be a long offseason. Make sure you guys tweet @Ochocinco for all his help this year.