NFL Divisional Round Preview

diviosnlLast weeks games were the biggest let downs of all time. One of the worst weekends of football ever. Every game sucked and then we were all forced to watch RGIII basically forced into ripping his knee apart. I was a little angry with myself that I wasn’t aware Christian Ponder wasn’t going to be playing seeing as that game was my only loss of the week putting me at 3-1 for the playoffs but realistically 4-0. Whatever. So this weekends games seem like they will all be pretty good. Saturday we got the Ravens and Broncos and the Packers and 49ers. Then Sunday Pats and Texans and Seahawks and Falcons. So here are some top of the line picks that you should definitely bet on if you want to make some money this weekend:

Ravens @ Broncos (-10)– Really Vegas? This is the playoffs. Maybe they didn’t get the memo but the Broncos quarterback is notorious for playoff one-and-dones and this Ravens defense is coming off an emotional win where they literally gave the Bengals zero ground. From a betting stand-point this game is a lay-up. You take the Ravens with the points all day everyday. Now with that being said, I really am unsure of who is going to win this game. My gut is saying that the Broncos pull it out but my head is telling me Peyton Manning is going to do what he usually does and that is lose in the playoffs. I think it’s definitely a low scoring game and the Ravens win on a late field goal to send the two horses packing.

Tbow’s Pick- Ravens +10

Packers @ 49ers (-3)- By far the game of the weekend right here. Well, at least that’s what most people think but I see this as a one-sided affair. I picked the Pack to lose last week but they caught a huge break with Christian Ponder not playing. On the surface you might think he wouldn’t have made much of a difference but if you saw Joe Webb throw a football you would know that the Vikings had no chance with him behind center. The Packers are a mediocre defense at best and their offense hasn’t impressed me of late. I think the extra week of preparation will work to the Niners advantage and their big play capability will be what puts them over the edge against the Packers defense.

Tbow’s Pick- 49ers -3

Seahawks @ Falcons (-3)- This is the matchup that I am most looking forward to. I said last week I liked the Hawks to win but wasn’t sure if they had what it takes to play on the road. Honestly, last week didn’t tell me much. Was their defense really playing that good or was it all because RGIII had one knee? The offense turned it up in the 2nd half but that’s only because the Skins defense couldn’t get off the field because of the offensive 3 and outs. I will tell you one thing. If the Seahawks start the game on Sunday like they did last week there is no chance they win the game. I’m really surprised at how low the spread is for this game. Falcons at home where they dominate and they basically dominated the conference all year. This is Matty Ice’s last chance to show that he’s not completely useless in the playoffs and this franchise cannot afford to lose another playoff game at home. Hawks made a good run but they are young and will be back next year, they need to learn to play on the road too.

Tbow’s Pick- Falcons -3

Texans @ Patriots (-10)- This is a very interesting game to say the least. You see it all the time in the NFL how hard it is for teams to win 2 games against the same opponent in a short time span. Patriots laid a beating on the Texans in week 14, and it had a pretty obvious effect on the entire team the rest of the season. The Texans were honestly saved by having to play last week because if they had a bye and were coming into the divisional round against anyone following all those losses you can guarantee them to lay another goose egg. They got to play however and get a little bit of confidence back in their game and that should make for a better showing on Sunday. I do like them to keep it close but I don’t know if they have enough to beat the Pats. I think it is possible but I like the Pats by a touchdown or field goal in this one. Don’t expect a blow out.

Tbow’s Pick- Texans +10

Tebow to save Jets and kill Sanchez’s career

Today, well yesterday Tim Tebow was announced officially as a member of the New York Jets. A little bit of me died inside with this announcement but that is beside the point. I am trying to figure out who was more disrespected in the transaction. Was it Tim Tebow who saved the Broncos season and led them to a playoff victory only to lose to a much better Patriots team and be given away by the Anti-Christ John Elway or Mark Sanchez who just signed a huge contract only to see his organization trade for Tebow who could potentially take his job and win over the locker room? I think it’s Tebow by far. Here is what is going to happen, and when it does you all can say wow, Tbow was right. So training camp will roll along, we will see video of Peyton looking stellar with his red don’t hit me jersey on throwing lasers down the field and John Elway standing on the sideline looking like a happy horse who just got his poopy stable cleaned. Then comes the Preseason. Peyton goes down, reaggrivates his injury and can’t play for the rest of his career. John Elway looks up only to see a group of fans wearing Tim Tebow jerseys and hears the song “Our God is an Awesome God” playing in his head the rest of his life. Denver goes on to accomplish what the Lions did a few years ago and go 0-16. John Elway gets run over by a real life Bronco that looks identical to him and dies instantly. Put all your money on it. Don’t underestimate Tebow’s powers. Winning football games with no talent around you takes ten times more effort than calling for a karate chop to Peytons neck and a Bronco getting loose at a nearby zoo.

All kidding aside, I see Tebow getting the starting job around week 3. Mark Sanchez has the mental capacity of a 5-year-old. And I am not talking about a five-year old from back in the day who was raised correctly I am talking about the five-year olds now that get a trophy for showing up to practice and have an ice cream party after losing 30-0 in a baseball game. His mind is already screwed up right now after that trade, never mind when Timmy is calling him up every other day to say whats up and asking him to go build houses with him in the Philipines. First day of practice Tim is going to walk up to Cromarte and say “hey man, you remember that Tweet saying your good?” and then he is going to kick him right in the balls and say “you’re welcome. now you don’t have to worry about having any more children”. Power move of the century. I couldn’t see a team that was more unfit for Tebow. Just a bunch of punks and idiots and foot lovers who all think they are the best players and entitled to everything. Just wait. Plaxico will be carrying a Bible to clubs instead of a gun and Rex is going to start licking Rosary beads instead of feet. If Tebow Jesus could turn water into wine, there is no doubt Tim will bring the Super Bowl to New York next season.

Breaking my vow of silence

After almost 24 hours, I still am not sure what to say. I have to give credit where credit is due, Brady and the Patriots defense played a great game. I totally underestimated how little the Denver defense would care about this game and that most of them were happy to just be there. The Pats offense made them look like chickens with their heads cut off. I have to admit, I had a little bit of doubt going into the game seeing as the Patriots were a better team, but I still thought the Broncos could win. However, I have to say, after the coin toss, my entire feeling about the game changed. What in the world was John Fox thinking giving the ball to Tom Brady and the Patriots to start the game? The only way they were going to win was off of momentum and doubt. They knew they had no shot of winning coming from behind, and the Patriots had 2 weeks to figure out what plays they were going to run on an opening drive. That, in my opinion changed the whole complexion of the game. How demoralizing is it for your defense to come out after the kickoff and give up a touchdown in what was it, five plays? Down 7-0 before Tebow could even finish the first verse of “Our God is an awesome God”. Just idiotic. I know he deferred every toss he won the whole season but this is the playoffs and you have to do the smart thing and going down 7-0 is not smart. Either way the Patriots played like they all remembered last years loss to the Jets and would have beat the Broncos regardless of how the game went.

I heard a lot about how Tim Tebow blew the game for the Broncos and how he sucked again and once again his numbers don’t reflect what really happened in my opinion. He was something like 3 for 8 in the first half for 28 yards, and all but one of his incompletions were dropped passes and thrown away balls. Not to mention the play calling not just in this game but the entire year was just awful and set him up for failure. Regardless, he had a great season and I am looking forward to see what he has next year. He will get a full training camp, preseason and a year under his belt. If anything, this game should have shown everyone what a great job Tebow did getting this horrible, overrated defense to the second round of the playoffs. Hopefully the Broncos can build a little better of a team around him for next season. They need some serious help on defense and it wouldn’t be a bad idea to bring in a few good receivers to compliment Demaryius Thomas who has a bright future as well. So I will admit I was wrong this week. I truly thought the Broncos had a chance and thought I had some pretty good stats and reasons why they had a chance and the Broncos didn’t do any of it, plain and simple. Hats off to the Pats and lets go Sixers.

5 Reasons Tim Tebow Will Beat the Patriots

Now I know most of you reading this are Patriots fans and you probably won’t read this, but if you are overconfident in this game, I suggest you do read it. Sometimes I write ridiculous things on here just to get reactions out of people but this isn’t one of them. I am about to tell you why the Broncos are about to go into Gillette Stadium and beat the Patriots on Saturday, because it is not as far-fetched as some of you might think.

5. Week 15- Patriots 45 Broncos 23- This first game played a few weeks ago was won pretty easily by the Patriots. However, there were a few things of concern for the Patriots out of this game. The Broncos held a 16-7 lead in the 2nd quarter when Lance Ball put the ball on the ground as the Broncos were about to begin driving again. That led to a Pats TD. Next possession, Tim Tebow put the ball on the ground, which led to a field goal and gave the Patriots the lead. Next possession was a punt and the Patriots added another touchdown, and finally they forced the Pats to punt with about 20 seconds left when Quan Cosby muffed the punt and handed the Patriots another 3 points. After you play so good then hand the Patriots point like that, it’s hard to come back from. Not only that, the Patriots as a team in the last 3 years have had much difficulty beating good teams after they had beat them in the meeting before. Last year they beat the Jets 45-3 in week 13, then came up short in the Divisional Round 28-21 to the Jets. 2009, they beat the Ravens 27-21 in week 4 then got owned at Gillette in the Wild Card round by the Ravens 33-14. Also that same year, they  beat Miami in their first meeting of the year and lost to them a few weeks later. A trend that is very apparent in the NFL is that it is very hard to beat a team twice. Something about this league makes it hard for you to beat a good team twice. I’m not talking about the Buffalos and Rams of the world but beating good solid teams. Maybe the Patriots will be able to break this mold but it definitely plays a role in this game

4. Patriots 31st ranked defense- This Pats defense is absolutely terrible. I can honestly say I have never seen a team in the NFL with a defense this bad make a run in the playoffs. They are not going to pull a Steelers and put 10 in the box daring Tebow to do what he does best and throw the deep ball, but they are going to play soft and allow this Broncos team to run. Mind you, Willis McGahee played sparingly in the first meeting nursing an injury, and the Patriots allowed Lance Ball to rush for 64 yards on 11 carries and even McGahee for 70 on 7 carries which were mostly in the first quarter. Tim Tebow added 93 on the ground, and this run game mixed with the fact that the Patriots will be allowing them to run is ingredients for a limited Tom Brady. Denver can control the clock if they keep it close and add a few early scores, and if Brady is only getting 7 or 8 possessions in the game, every possession is put under a microscope and adds that much more pressure. We all saw Tebow embarrass the Steelers defense on Sunday averaging a ridiculous 31.6 yards per completion and throwing for the most yards this defense had allowed all year. Bill Belichick does not want Tebow to beat them, and rightfully so, but pick your poison. Broncos can control the clock and the game with the run game, and if they clean up the turnovers it will be a totally different game.

3. Pressure on Patriots/Not Broncos-While Tim Tebow plays his best football when the pressure is on, there is not much pressure, if any, on this Broncos team to win this week. They won their unlikely home game against the defending AFC Champions, in what could have been Tebow’s last game as a starting quarterback (or at least what some fans actually believed). On the flip side, the Patriots fans are getting restless. For 3 of 4 years, they had seen their team win the Super Bowl. They saw their team go to the Super Bowl in 2007 going for the perfect season which was bitterly ended by the Giants. They haven’t quite been the same playoff team since then. Something has been missing in the playoff games they had, and both of their losses since then have come at home which is quite disturbing. The amount of pressure on this Patriots team not only to win this game but to win the Super Bowl this year is enormous. Don’t get me wrong, if anyone can handle this pressure it’s Tom Brady. He probably deserves to win MVP this season, but I am not sure I can say the same for some of these other guys. Teams can easily break under the pressure, and it is win and, eh, we had a great season for the Broncos, and no other option but to win for the Patriots.

2. Tim Tebow’s leadership and sheer will to win

That was one of my favorite Tim Tebow moments ever. The famous Tim Tebow speech after Florida’s loss in his senior season with hopes for an undefeated National Championship. He has the ability to lead by example, and motivate his teammates and it has shown. Whether you want to give him credit for the Broncos run or give credit to the run game or the defense, whoever you want to give it to, those guys played inspired under Tebow. Kyle Orton could only muster 1 win with the same exact team, but he didn’t know how to motivate. One thing will be sure on Saturday night and that is the Broncos will be ready. Watching Tebow run up and down his sideline getting his guys pumped after he scored his touchdown, you could just tell guys feed off his energy, they love it. This guy is special, and sometimes it is the intangibles that can single-handedly win games.

1. Jesus really does want the Broncos to win- So in my last post, I showed you guys the picture of the halo over Mile High last week during the game. I told you about the fact that Tebow’s favorite Gospel passage was John 3:16 and he threw for 316 yards. In the past few days I have heard even more “coincidences”. Tebow’s completion percentage for the game was 31.6. The Steelers time of possession for the game; 31 minutes 6 seconds. The highest TV rating for a Wild Card game in NFL history, peaked at 31.6 million during the 4th quarter. Oh, and the wide receiver who caught the game winning touchdown, Demaryius Thomas shares his birthday of December 25th with a pretty special guy. Jesus is like poking us all in the face with these signs that he is the true Broncos GM.  It is truly a battle of good vs evil on Saturday. Jesus vs Satan. I don’t know about you but I would take Jesus any day, unless it’s the South Park Jesus then I’m not so sure.