Category: NFL

NFL Week 3

Last week was a tough week. There were 3 pushes which could have either boosted me to a great week or knocked me down to a terrible week. Either way, I ended with 7-6-3 bringing my two week total to 15-13-3. By my math that is around 54% which is not very good but also not bad. This week I guarantee 10 wins. So if there is ever a week to pony up some money behind my picks, this is it. There have been 2 weeks and the league is as competitive as it’s ever been with 20 teams at 1-1. By the way, screw the Patriots who screwed about 40% of everyone in the world who was in a survivor pool.

Rams @ Bears (-7)- No Forte probably and coming off an embarrassing loss to the Packers in prime time. They have had extra time to prepare though and that goes a long way in the NFL. Rams looked good in their big win against the Redskins but in reality they should have been going to overtime and then who knows what happens. 7 is a good spread for this, I think the Bears win and I see them barely covering the spread.

Tbows Pick- Bears -7

Bucs @ Cowboys (-7)- So clearly Vegas didn’t watch the Cowboys last week. Just looked awful. I expected them to put up some type of fight against the Seahawks but on the other hand the Bucs looked awesome then looked terrible. I think these two teams are very similar and very inconsistent. Both can play at a high level but can also stink up the joint as bad as anyone. I like the Bucs to win and cover.

Tbows Pick- Bucs +7

49ers @ Vikings (+7)- 49ers are looking like the real deal this year. They can throw the ball when they need to and run the ball down your throat. The Vikings lost a heart breaker to the Colts last week and it looks like they are going to lose again this week.

Tbows Pick- 49ers -7

Lions @ Titans (+4)- The Lions are coming off a tough loss to the 49ers and the Titans are coming off a pretty bad loss to the Chargers. The offense for the Lions hasn’t really been there yet, so this is the week I look for them to open it up. Rivers threw for 3 and should have been 4 touchdowns against the Titans last week so I am looking for a huge day from Stafford and Calvin and the Lions to get back on track.

Tbows Pick- Lions -4

Bengals @ Redskins (-3.5)- This is a tough one. The Bengals played good offensively last week, but 20+ points to the Browns offense? That’s worrisome especially seeing how good the Redskins offense looks. I am just going to have to go with my gut on this one and say RGIII doesn’t disappoint in his home opener and the Skins beat the Bengals by a touchdown.

Tbows Pick- Redskins -3.5

Jets @ Dolphins (+3)-  This one needs no analysis. The Jets played a tough team and still put up a pretty good fight and the Dolphins just played a garbage Oakland team.

Tbows Pick- Jets -3

Chiefs @ Saints (-9)- It is really hard to put faith in this Saints team even though the Chiefs have looked BAD on defense. I will give the Saints one more shot and they should explode on offense this week for a big win at home which they need badly.

Tbows Pick- Saints -9

Bills @ Browns (+3)- The Bills looked good on offense granted it was against the Chiefs and I am feeling a big trend this season on teams coming off losses and beating teams coming off wins. The Browns offense showed something last week, and they are at home so I like the Browns in this one, sadly.

Tbows Pick- Browns +3

Jags @ Colts (-3)- So I liked the Colts last week to win and they almost blew it but ended up winning in stunning fashion on a Peyton like drive at the end of the game. Luck is looking like the real deal and he has instant chemistry with Reggie Wayne as well as Donnie Avery. Austin Collie might be coming back this week too and I just think the Colts have too many weapons for the Jags to compete with.

Tbows Pick- Colts -3

Eagles @ Cardinals (+4)- I am a bit nervous taking my Eagles as road favorites. They are coming off a HUGE win against one of the best if not the best team in the AFC and so are the Cardinals. But the Eagles defense is just stout this year. The Eagles offense still isn’t quite there yet and they’ve turned it over 4+ times in the first two games and they have still won both. That says something about how good the Eagles D is. Would it be bad if I only said I like the birds in this one?

Tbows Pick- Eagles -4

Falcons @ Chargers (+3)- The Falcons are 2-0 and so are the Chargers. This ones a coin flip, maybe we see Matthews this week, who knows. Maybe Turner drives drunk to the game, who knows. Since home teams raped last week I will just go with the home dawgs in this one.

Tbows Pick- Chargers +3

Texans @ Broncos (+3)- The Broncos have faced two good teams thus far and the Texans really haven’t had a test. The Broncos are a tough team at home but Peyton looked like the Peyton I expected him to be last game. Turnovers killed them but they still had a shot. I just think the run game of the Texans will be too much so I am taking another road favorite in the Texans.

Tbows Pick- Texans -3

Steelers @ Raiders (+4.5)- Can you say trap game? Coming off a big win against the Jets last week and then a big game next week against the Eagles. I like me some Raiders this week in the black hole to shock the Steelers.

Tbows Pick- Raiders +4.5

Patriots @ Ravens (-3)- Couldn’t think of a better Sunday night game to have on. These two teams are both 1-1 and whoever wins will have a 2 game lead over the other with the tiebreaker going to whoever wins in terms of seeding for the playoffs. I’m just not sold on the Patriots this season. Thought I was after week one but they lost to a decent, not good, decent Cardinals team. The Ravens have never beaten the Patriots in the regular season, but then again the Patriots had won, what, their past 10 home openers? Bound to lose sometime and I just think the balance of the Ravens and them being at home are going to be too much.

Tbows Pick- Ravens -3

Packers @ Seahawks (+3.5)- This will be a good game as well. Like I said last week, The 12th man in Seattle is probably the biggest advantage of any team in the league. It’s loud and it’s a place nobody wants to play. The Packers are vulnerable on defense against a power running game which is what the Hawks have. However, I am not sure they have the defense to keep up with all the Packers weapon. Close first half and then the Pack pull away by two TD’s.

Tbows Pick- Packers -3.5

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Welker Drama in New England

The Welker drama continued for the Patriots this past Sunday, as Edelman played more snaps and got the start over Welker. All I heard today was conspiracy theories on why Bill is doing this to the guy. The most logical in my mind is the whole contract dispute, and how Welker tweeted earlier this summer how he was hoping for long term but settled for the franchise tag and would sign as a “leap of faith” hoping the Patriots would do the same net off season. We all know the Patriots hate bad PR. That’s the number one no-no in New England. But then I thought about it more and you have Gronk who made a fool of himself after their Super Bowl loss last season and got a huge long term deal. I can’t wrap the whole situation around my head, and it is killing me to figure out what they are doing here. I have always thought that Bill has elaborate plans that defy logic, and sometimes just dicks around with teams, maybe even loses on purpose if he thinks it’s what’s best for the team. Who knows. How do you explain an offense doing absolutely nothing the whole game and then driving down the Cardinals throat on the drive with 3 minutes left and then nearly having another TD or at least a long gain to win the game if it wasn’t for the Gronk hold? Maybe Bill has some new stuff and he knew they had two layups, or what he thought would be layups before they took on a tough Baltimore team in one of their two toughest games this year? I don’t know. To make things more confusing they just resigned Deion Branch. The world is upside down in Foxborough, so I am just glad I don’t like the Pats anymore. And all I know is I just traded for Welker in one of my fantasy leagues so I hope he comes back to form, and honestly I think he will. They’ve had Julian for 3 years now so it’s not like all of a sudden he became Welker overnight. He isn’t as good, plain and simple. I’m curious to think what other Pats fans think so I will post a poll on here. So vote and tell me whether you think Welker will still finish the season with 100 catches and 1000 yards, whether he will end up back as the primary slot receiver but not produce as much, or whether the Pats are really trying to out Welker and go with Edelman for the most part. 

NFL Refs and the Sad Truth

I can’t bite my tongue anymore on the replacement ref issue. I can’t stand listening to all the TV personalities/players/fans complaining about the new refs. If you are complaining about the refs week in and week out, here’s a newsflash for you: you are the reason the real refs aren’t on the field. If you really want the refs back, don’t watch the games. Roger Goodell is a money grubbing bastard who could care less what his product looks like and whether or not the players are happy/safe. All he cares about is ratings and money, and guess what, everyone is still watching! There might even be more people watching now that there is all this talk about how bad the refs are. Now don’t get me wrong and think that I don’t think the refs are bad, because I do think that. You couldn’t honestly think that refs could just come into the NFL and do a great job. But being an NFL ref isn’t like being a mathematician or a rocket scientist. The more they do it the better they’ll get. I think by the end of the season they should be about where the old refs were, which was not good anyways. We praise these old refs now for some reason, when the fact is they all are terrible. Every week we would complain about calls and say how bad the refs are, so the fact that we all want them back now is somewhat strange.

The NFL knows that people will watch no matter what. They are cheap and don’t care about their product. If they cared they would sack up the extra 3 or 4 million to put the old refs back to work. I gained a lot of respect for John Fox last night in his post game conference. There were a lot of things that went on in that game that someone could blame the refs on. He basically said that new refs or old refs, there are a lot of obstacles to overcome in any NFL game and the refs will never be an excuse for why they lost. Point blank that is how every team should be operating. We got to hear Joe Flacco cry like a little baby after they lost to the Eagles. Hey Joe I didn’t hear you complaining about the refs last week when you won. The Ravens of all teams should be benefiting from these refs because defensive backs and line backers can basically get away with murder now and, well, they also have a linebacker who has gotten away with murder once before. So my tip to you people who are constantly complaining about the officials, either stop and embrace it, or keep complaining and don’t watch because that’s the only way the real refs come back is if people stop watching.

NFL Week 2 Picks

So my first week picking all the games went, well, not as bad as I expected. Picking 15 games with spreads is not an easy thing to do, and I might have taken on a tough task by doing that many every week, but whatever. My goal is to go above .500 over the course of the season. I went a decent 8-7 last week, with all things considered. My most cherished fantasy league has gone to shit already and it’s only the beginning of week 2, thanks a lot Jennings/Forte/Steve Smith. I am expecting this week to win at least 10 games. So here we go:

Bucs @ Giants (-7) – Giants looked terrible week one against the Cowboys. Bucs on the other hand looked pretty good against the Panthers, especially on defense. I think the Panthers just didn’t show up though which will factor into this decision. Also, having 10 days to prepare especially after seeing the other team play a game this season should not be overlooked. The Bucs won’t do anything special or different and the Giants can’t expect to keep starting off the season bad and winning the Super Bowl so I like the G-Men to come back and cover the touchdown spread.

Tbow’s Pick- Giants -7

Cardinals @ Patriots (-14)- I showed last week how much I hate spreads over 10 points. Two touchdowns is a lot, and with the way Kolb looked on the final drive of that game. Based on the Cardinals being 1-0 and Kolb’s potential to play like a good qb for once, I am taking the Cardinals +14.

Tbow’s Pick- Cardinals +14

Vikings @ Colts (+2)- Colts are getting 2 points at home after a week one loss on the road. I’m not going to say the Colts looked good, but they looked better than I expected, at least offensively. They definitely have much to work on on the defensive side of the ball, but the Vikings certainly don’t have the weapons the Bears had. I like the Colts in this game to get their first win of the season. Maybe they will realize they can stop sucking for Luck because he is on the team already.

Tbow’s Pick- Colts +2

Saints @ Panthers (+3)- Here’s another home dog this week, and this could be the most tricky pick of the week. Both teams severely underperformed last week, and quite frankly were disappointing. Because the Saints are more experienced and know the ramifications of going 0-2 to start the season, I am going to say Brees will be on the top of his game and they win by a few touchdowns.

Tbow’s Pick- Saints -2

Chiefs @ Bills (-3)- This game is kind of a laugher in my opinion. Did Vegas watch the Bills game last week? They let a team that didn’t score a touchdown in the preseason score 40 something points. Chiefs looked okay at least in the first half against the Falcons who seemed to be on a mission in week 1. Charles looked healthy and Cassel looked pretty decent so I like their chances of winning this game.

Tbow’s Pick- Chiefs +3

Ravens @ Eagles (-3)- Ah, my Eagles. Almost gave me a heart attack last week, thank god I couldn’t actually watch the game or I would have had one. Definitely did not look good, but after further review, I put a lot of that on Andy Reid. I was not aware how good of a pass defense the Browns actually had. They were tops in the league last season in pass defense. They were also worst in the league in rush defense, so let’s not give the ball to the best running back in the league and let Vick throw 56 times. Makes sense. Anyway, plain and simple, Ravens are a different team on the road. I like the Eagles to come out and whoop them, even if Jackson and Maclin don’t play.

Tbow’s Pick- Eagles -3

Raiders @ Dolphins (+3)- Oakland had a horrible misfortune last week with their long snapper going down in the 1st quarter. That will kill your special teams, and it did. Just can’t prepare for that. I like them to bounce back against the horrible Dolphins. However, this will be a close game that might go down to the wire.

Tbow’s Pick- Raiders -3

Browns @ Bengals (-7)- This game is my beat down of the week. Browns looked like a Pee Wee team on offense last week. Just nothing positive at all. Not one thing. Bengals got embarrassed on Monday night by a good team, and will be out for blood this week. All Bengals after the coin toss.

Tbow’s Pick- Bengals -7

Texans @ Jags (+7.5)- I doubted the Texans last week with the big spread, didn’t think they had the offensive fire power. I was wrong. They scored 30 with their running game virtually non existent, I mean if you consider 100 yards non existent. A hobbled Adrian ran for 80 and two td’s against the Jags, so I expect Arian to do the same and like the Texans big this week.

Tbow’s Pick- Texans -7.5

Cowboys @ Seahawks (+3)-  This game comes down to whether or not you believe the Cowboys. They have been the biggest frauds the last few years. Look great one week then the next week look like they belong cleaning the stadium after the game. I’m not a believer and I love how the Hawks play at home. Just a tough place to play, probably getting close to as tough as playing at the Ravens. Let’s go Russel FTW!

Tbow’s Pick- Seahawks +3

Redskins @ Rams (+3)- This seems to be a theme this week. Home dogs by 3. I don’t like the home team in this one though, at all. They played good last week, but let’s not forget they let the Lions drive right down the field in under a minute to not only tie the game, but win with a touchdown. Just unacceptable at the NFL level. At least hold them to a field goal. Redskins looked legit. Beat the Saints who had a lot to play for in New Orleans. I’m on the RGIII bandwagon.

Tbow’s Pick- Redskins -3

Jets @ Steelers (-5)- Jets looked great last week, Steelers, not so much. If you think the Jets winning ways won’t be attributed to Tebow in any way you are high. The guy brings a winning attitude, and turned a bunch of selfish players into winners. J-E-T-S Jets Jets Jets!

Tbow’s Pick- Jets +5

Titans @ Chargers (-6)- Chargers won by default last week, and we didn’t get to see a lot of offense from them, mostly because each drive started inside the Oakland 30. The defense looked solid and the offense looked okay. I like the Chargers this year, Phil Rivers comeback kid.

Tbow’s Pick- Chargers -6

Lions @ 49ers (-7)- The cowardly Lions are going into a dangerous place this week. I don’t really like the Lions this year. I think what we saw from Stafford last game is the real Stafford. 5,000 yards last year was a fluke. 49ers by 20 and expose the Lions for who they are.

Tbow’s Pick- 49ers -7

Broncos @ Falcons (-3)- Quite frankly I am just tired now of writing, so ya.

Tbow’s Pick- Falcons -3